Orlando weather: Tropical disturbance to bring heavy rain and flash flood risk to Central Florida

What will the weather look like tonight?

What To Expect:

This evening will feature scattered showers and storms across Central Florida. Storm timing looks to be fizzled out by 10pm. 

Heavy rainfall, strong winds, frequent lightning and the possibility of small hail are the main threat to today's afternoon and evening storms. 

A few thunderstorms may be on the stronger side or become severe. 

After the rain and storms fizzle out, partly cloudy skies are on tap late tonight with warm and muggy conditions.

What will the weather look like this week?

What's next:

Monday and Tuesday are FOX 35 Weather Impact Days thanks to the tropical environment that we'll be in. With this disturbance in the Atlantic moving across the state and into the Gulf, we'll likely see more widespread showers and storms, especially in the afternoons and evenings.

3–5 inches of rain is expected as heavy downpours roll through Monday and Tuesday. 

Make sure you have rain gear as you head out the door on Monday morning. Storms will start to fire up in the late morning on Monday, becoming widespread Monday afternoon with rain and gusty winds being the main threats. 

This also means that flash flooding will be a threat over the next few days.

The same pattern is expected to continue Tuesday with HEAVY rain and gusty winds again, leading to the threat of flash flooding.

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Hot and humid conditions will continue with rain chances coming down by the end of the workweek.

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Tracking the Tropics

Looking Ahead:

We are now watching a 20% chance of tropical activity over the next 7 days.

A broad area of low pressure could form over the next several days. With the warm ocean water, low wind shear and little dust over the Gulf, it could be the perfect combination to allow for some organization. Possibly by mid to late next week as the system moves generally westward across the Florida Peninsula. 

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Regardless of development, tropical moisture will create widespread rainy conditions, bringing heavy rain to central Florida.

Current models have this possibly organizing more in the Gulf due to the warm water, low shear and little dust and moving towards MS, TX, LA, or AL.

The Source: This story was written based on information shared by the FOX 35 Storm Team on July 13, 2025.

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