Tropics update: NHC tracking disturbance near Florida over July 4 weekend

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is tracking a new disturbance that could potentially develop over Florida during the July 4 weekend.

Towards the end of this week and potentially into next weekend, an area of low pressure could develop along the Southeastern United States – including on either side of the Florida Peninsula, the NHC said. This is due to a remnant frontal boundary.

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Some tropical or subtropical development could then develop. As of Sunday morning, there is a low chance – 20% – of further development over the next several days.

What can we expect in Florida?

The daily rain opportunities this week are driven by these waves of low pressure upstairs in the sky or the "pieces of energy", along with the daily sea breeze interaction. So, in fact, the tropical downpours that we're getting each and every day this week are a result of the potential formation of this tropical disturbance.

Florida July 4 Forecast

This means that tropical rains are on the table for our July 4th holiday weekend with a depression potentially forming next weekend. Potential rainfall amounts vary across the state, but up towards the Big Bend area, seven inches of rain could fall.

It all depends on where this low actually forms, because that will impact how much rain we see in Central Florida. The FOX 35 Storm Team will continue to monitor.