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Tropical Update: October 2nd, 2025
FOX 35 Storm Team Meteorologist Noah Bergren is tracking a recap of Imelda and Humberto -- and the chance of "Jerry" forming in the Atlantic next week. Hurricane season runs through the end of November.
ORLANDO, Fla. - The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is now tracking a new zone for potential tropical development that may form near the Northwestern Bahamas and Southern Florida by Saturday. Forecasters are also continuing to follow Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda as it continues to quickly move away from Bermuda.
Meanwhile, a tropical wave that is expected to move off the coast of Africa over the next day or two is also being watched.
Area of low pressure in Southwestern Atlantic
What we know:
The NHC says a new area of low pressure may form near the Northwestern Bahamas and Southern Florida by Saturday.
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Any additional development is expected to be slow to occur as the system moves northwestward across the Florida Peninsula and into the Gulf.
The system currently only has a 10% chance of development over the next 48 hours and seven days.
Tropical wave in the Central Tropical Atlantic
What we know:
The NHC says a tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa over the next day or two.
Thereafter, this wave is forecast to interact with another disturbance in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic, and some slow development of the combined feature is possible as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15–20 mph.
The system currently only has a 0% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 30% chance of development over the next seven days.
Humberto and Imelda set new record
What we know:
The NHC says conditions are expected to improve in Bermuda over the next several hours after the island was slammed by Hurricane Imelda's powerful winds and heavy rain late Wednesday night and into Thursday morning. Imelda has now become a post-tropical system.
The center of Imelda came extremely close to Bermuda but didn’t officially make landfall, instead passing just to the south of the island.
Humberto and Imelda likely set a *new record* for the closest two hurricanes have been documented in the Atlantic basin during the satellite era (since 1966)! On Tuesday they were under 500 miles apart as the "Fujiwhara" effect began, and both hurricanes morphed into one.
A rare combo of two tropical waves that formed and tracked close together from off the coast of Africa. Generally, two hurricanes are not able to form so close to each other because they end up negatively impacting each other and competing for the same dynamics in the atmosphere.
2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Big picture view:
No other activity is being tracked in the Atlantic at this time, but now that we are in October, our focus will start to shift from activity in the Central Atlantic to activity possibly brewing in the Caribbean and the Gulf.
The Central American Gyre is a low pressure system that forms over Central America and pulls in moisture from the Gulf, the Atlantic and the Pacific.
This annual pattern can lead to tropical activity in the back half of the season.
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The Atlantic hurricane season began on June 1 and runs through Nov. 30.
The Source: This story was written based on information shared by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), FOX Weather and the FOX 35 Storm Team on Oct. 2, 2025.