Tropical Storm Erin to become first hurricane of 2025 season on trek across Atlantic: NHC

Tropical Update: August 12th, 2025

Tropical Storm Erin has formed and is forecast to become the season's 1st hurricane, and 1st major hurricane. FOX 35 Senior Meteorologist Noah Bergren has the latest conditions. The 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season runs thru November 30. Download the FOX Local app for tropical alerts and notifications.

ORLANDO, Fla. - Tropical Storm Erin is rapidly moving through the central tropical Atlantic and is expected to strengthen into a hurricane within the next few days.

Here’s what we know so far about the storm.

Where is Tropical Storm Erin?

What we know:

 As of 11 p.m. On Tuesday, Erin was located about 1,520 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands.

The storm is moving west at 20 mph with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph. 

"This general motion is expected tonight through Thursday, with a west-northwestward motion beginning Thursday night and continuing into the weekend," the NHC said. 

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Forecast track for Tropical Storm Erin

 At this time, there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect, and the system poses no immediate threat to land.

Tropical Storm Erin spaghetti models

Two systems being watched in the Atlantic 

Two weak weather systems are also being monitored this week — one near Nova Scotia, the other near the Yucatán Peninsula. 

In the Northwestern Atlantic, a non-tropical low is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, mainly to the west of its center. 

There is a small window for tropical or subtropical development over the next day or so. By midweek, the system is expected to move north into cooler waters, ending any further chances.

Meanwhile, in the Northeastern Gulf, a surface trough is producing widespread, disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While development into a tropical system is not expected, the weather remains active.

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"While development of this system is not anticipated before it moves inland later today, locally heavy rainfall could produce flash flooding across portions of the Florida Panhandle, southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and southeastern Louisiana over the next day or so," the NHC said.