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Orlando Weather Forecast: August 15, 2025
FOX 35 Storm Team Meteorologist Brooks Garner has a look at the weekend forecast for Orlando and Central Florida.
ORLANDO, Fla. - Tropical Storm Erin is rapidly intensifying in the Atlantic and is expected to become a hurricane later today, posing a growing threat to the northern Leeward Islands and surrounding regions.
What we know:
As of 5:00 a.m., Erin was about 570 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands, moving west-northwest at 17 mph.
Erin is currently packing maximum sustained winds of 70 mph, with a minimum central pressure of 997 mb and tropical-storm-force winds extending up to 90 miles from its center. The storm is expected to steadily strengthen and could become a major hurricane by this weekend – Cat. 4 by Sunday.
Tropical Storm Erin forecast track
Spaghetti models
Will it impact Florida?
The track takes Tropical Storm Erin east of Florida, and while that means we'll be spared from any direct impacts, we will face deadly rip currents all next week as big swells over 10 feet are pushed into Atlantic beaches. The passages of the system will also pull-in drier air midweek, reducing our daily rain chances to 'unlikely' for several days and slightly lower humidity levels.
Watches and Warnings
Dig deeper:
A Tropical Storm Watch is currently in effect for:
- Anguilla and Barbuda
- St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
- Saba and St. Eustatius
- Sint Maarten
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within 48 hours.
Residents of the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and other parts of the northern Leeward Islands should monitor local weather sources for updates.
Heavy rainfall associated with Tropical Storm Erin is expected to begin late Friday and continue through the weekend, bringing widespread rain totals of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated areas receiving up to 6 inches. Affected areas include the northern Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British Virgin Islands, and southern and eastern Puerto Rico.
This rainfall may lead to isolated flash and urban flooding, along with landslides or mudslides.
Meanwhile, dangerous surf and swells generated by Erin will begin impacting the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico this weekend, with effects likely spreading to the western Atlantic next week.
These swells are expected to produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Residents and visitors should follow all guidance from local weather offices and beach safety authorities.
The Source: This story was written based on information shared by the National Hurricane Center on August 15, 2025.